TY - GEN
AU - Hannah Cloke
AU - Florian Pappenberger
AB - Operational medium range flood forecasting systems are increasingly moving towards the adoption of ensembles of numerical weather predictions (NWPs), known as Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPS), to drive their predictions. We review the scientific drivers of this shift towards ensemble flood forecasting and discuss several of the questions surrounding best practice in using EPS in flood forecasting systems. We also critique the main case studies in the literature that claim ‘added value' of flood forecasts based on EPS and point to remaining key challenges in using EPS successfully.
BT - ECMWF Technical Memoranda
DA - 10/2008
DO - 10.21957/a7k55bf0e
LA - eng
M1 - 574
N2 - Operational medium range flood forecasting systems are increasingly moving towards the adoption of ensembles of numerical weather predictions (NWPs), known as Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPS), to drive their predictions. We review the scientific drivers of this shift towards ensemble flood forecasting and discuss several of the questions surrounding best practice in using EPS in flood forecasting systems. We also critique the main case studies in the literature that claim ‘added value' of flood forecasts based on EPS and point to remaining key challenges in using EPS successfully.
PB - ECMWF
PY - 2008
EP - 29
T2 - ECMWF Technical Memoranda
TI - Operational flood forecasting: a review of ensemble techniques
UR - https://www.ecmwf.int/node/8742
ER -