@misc{75781,
  author = {M. Mujumdar and Franco Molteni and A Ghelli and Frédéric Vitart and Paul Dando and J.M. Slingo},
  title = {Assessment of ECMWF forecasts: widespread rainfall events during the Indian summer monsoon},
  abstract = {The skill of dynamical forecasts of widespread rainfall events (WSREs) over central India is examined using high-resolution models from the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The WSREs entail interactions between the large-scale monsoon circulation and the convective systems which are embedded within the boreal summer Inter Tropical convergence zone (ITCZ). A diagnostic analysis of the ECMWF forecasts of WSREs during 2007 is performed. Several features of the observed rainfall distribution and large-scale organisation of convection during WSREs are found to be realistically captured by the ECMWF forecasts. The paper acknowledges a potential wider scope for diagnosing the influence of remote and regional forcings on the organisation of large-scale convection. The appraisal could be extended to break phases associated with the evolution of large-scale suppressed convection.},
  year = {2009},
  journal = {ECMWF Technical Memoranda},
  number = {580},
  pages = {19},
  month = {01/2009},
  publisher = {ECMWF},
  url = {https://www.ecmwf.int/node/11307},
  doi = {10.21957/691kj4uk},
  language = {eng},
}