@misc{78754,
  author = {Mark Rodwell and Laura Ferranti and Thomas Haiden and L. Magnusson},
  title = {New developments in the diagnosis and verification of high-impact weather forecasts},
  abstract = {<p>
  &nbsp;</p>

<p>
  High-impact weather is of particular interest to forecast users, and its prediction with a seamless ensemble analysis/forecast system is at the heart of ECMWF’s proposed new strategy. Whilst the impacts of weather are user-specific, from a meteorological viewpoint weather can be high-impact by virtue of its extreme amplitude (e.g. tropical cyclones) or its longevity (e.g. heat-waves). Both aspects present a particular challenge for forecast systems, and demand considerable development of diagnostic and verification capabilities. Here, with reference to numerous high-impact weather types, and particular focus on ensemble aspects, we discuss recent developments in these diagnostic and verification capabilities, and our future plans.</p>

<p>
  &nbsp;</p>
},
  year = {2015},
  journal = {ECMWF Technical Memoranda},
  number = {759},
  month = {2015},
  publisher = {ECMWF},
  url = {https://www.ecmwf.int/node/15255},
  doi = {10.21957/36b0t3mke},
  language = {eng},
}