The ECMWF/CLIVAR Workshop on "Simulation and Prediction of Intra-Seasonal Variability with Emphasis on the MJO" was held at ECMWF from 3 to 6 November 2003.
Description
The workshop discussed observations, simulations, predictions and studies of predictability, of seasonal variability with emphasis on the Madden-Julian Oscillation.
The duration of the meeting was 4 days, which allowed two-and-a-half days for lectures, one day for Group discussions, and the final afternoon for a plenary session.
Programme
Introduction and working group reports
Presentations
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Introduction Tim Palmer |
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| Overview | |
|---|---|
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The structure and annual cycle of the MJO Chidong Zhang |
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Dynamics of the intra-seasonal oscillation Bin Wang |
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The Madden-Julian oscillation in general circulation models Kenneth R Sperber |
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| Observations, Mechanisms and Theories | |
|---|---|
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Intraseasonal oscillations in the mid-latitudes: observations, theory and GCM results Michael Ghil |
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Structure and Propagation of a Modeled MJO Dave Raymond |
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MJO-like systems and moisture-convection feedback in idealized aquaplanet simulations Wojtek Grabowski |
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Analytic representation of the multiscale organization of tropical convection Mitch Moncrieff |
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The use of high resolution numerical simulations of tropical circulation to calibrate stochastic physics schemes Glenn Shutts |
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Influence of Process Interactions on MJO-like Convective Structures in the IFS Model Adrian Tompkins & Thomas Jung |
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The cumulus parameterization problem in the context of MJO simulations Jun-Ichi Yano |
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On the role of the MJO in exciting El Nino Geert Jan van Oldenburgh |
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The role of atmosphere-ocean coupling in the Madden-Julian Oscillation Steve Woolnough |
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| Role in climate | |
|---|---|
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Climate scale interactions in the tropical Indian and Pacific basins involving MJO and high-frequency wind variability Jean-Philippe Boulanger |
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Simulation of the tropical intraseasonal oscillation with a coupled GCM Silvio Gualdi |
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The MJO in global climate models Peter Inness |
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Monsoon variability in different versions of the Met Office climate model Gill Martin |
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Analysis of the variability of African Easterly Waves in simulations with ARPEGE-Climat Jean-François Royer |
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| Predictability | |
|---|---|
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Techniques and experiences in real-time prediction of the MJO and its associated weather: The BMRC perspective Matt Wheeler |
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Numerical simulation and prediction methods for tropical intra-seasonal variability: Extensions of empirical Bayesian concepts Peter Webster |
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Simulation and prediction of the MJO with the NCEP global forecast model Wanqui Wang |
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MJO prediction in the ECMWF monthly forecasting system Frederic Vitart & David Anderson |
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Analysis of the tropical intra-seasonal oscillation in the DEMETER multi-model system Paco Doblas-Reyes |
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Proceedings
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Climate scale interactions in the Indio-Pacific basins J-P Boulanger |
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Tropical Intra-seasonal oscillations in the DEMETER multi-model system F J Doblas-Reyes |
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Intraseasonal oscillations in the mid-latitudes: observations, theory and GCM results M Ghil |
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MJO-like systems and moisture-convection feedback in idealized aquaplanet simulations W W Grabowski |
|
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The MJO in global climate models P Inness |
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Monsoon variability in different versions of the Met Office climate model G Martin |
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Nonlinear analytic representation of MJO-like coherence M M Moncrieff |
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On the role of the MJO in exciting El Nino G J Oldenborgh |
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Structure and propagation of modeled MJO - emphasis on the East Pacific D J Raymond |
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Analysis of the variability of African easterly waves in simulations with ARPEGE-Climat J-F Royer |
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The use of high resolution numerical simulations of tropical circulation to calibrate stochastic physics schemes G Shutts |
|
|
The Madden-Julian oscillation in general circulation models K R Sperber |
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|
Influence of process interactions on MJO-like convective structures in the IFS model A Tompkins |
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MJO prediction in the ECMWF monthly forecasting system F Vitart |
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Fundamental dynamics of tropical intraseasonal oscillation B Wang |
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Simulation and prediction of the MJO with the NCEP models W Wang |
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Modeling strategies arising from the empirical prediction of the monsoon on intraseasonal time scales P J Webster |
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Techniques and experiences in real-time prediction of the MJO and its associated weather: The BMRC perspective M Wheeler |
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The role of atmosphere-ocean coupling in the MJO S J Woolnough |
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The cumulus parameterization problem in the context of MJO simulations J-I Yano |
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Structures of the MJO: implications to its air-sea interaction and dynamics C Zhang |
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